Excerpts from:
Jefferson, T BMJ 2006;333:912-915 (28 October), Influenza vaccination: policy versus evidence
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/full/333/7574/912
Poor Quality Studies
"Most studies are of poor methodological quality and the impact of confounders is high"
Flu Vaccine Has Little or No Effect
"In children under 2 years inactivated vaccines had the same field efficacy as placebo, and in healthy people under 65 vaccination did not affect hospital stay, time off work, or death from influenza and its complications… Evidence from systematic reviews shows that inactivated vaccines have little or no effect on the effects measured."
"Surprising" Policies
"The large gap between policy and what the data tell us (when rigorously assembled and evaluated) is surprising…. Reasons for the current gap between policy and evidence are unclear, but given the huge resources involved, a re-evaluation should be urgently undertaken"
Mutating strains
The flu virus mutates (changes it's structure) yearly. It's guesswork to produce a vaccine during the previous year against strains which might be prevalent during the next year's "flu season"
Benign Disease Not Worthy of Intervention
Influenza, commonly known as the flu, is an infectious disease of birds and mammals caused by an RNA virus of the family Orthomyxoviridae (the influenza viruses). It's effects are largely temporary and mild.
Flu is MUCH more Benign Than Government Numbers Show
The figure of "36,000 Americans Die Annually From Influenza" has been repeated by public health officials like a mantra and it gets parroted throughout the media as fact. Journalists do not seem to care that it has no source.
Turns out, this figure's origins cannot be found. Nowhere was there a published study explaining or confirming a "36,000 deaths" figure. We looked.
We found the testimony of CDC Director Julie L. Gerberding, MD, on Feb. 12, 2004, who stated that "CDC scientists estimate that an average of 36,000 people die from influenza-related complications each year in the United States."(1) but no publication is referenced and we can find no publication that states anywhere near this number.
Then we found the raw data from the CDC that tells exactly how many deaths occur annually due from influenza and influenza-related complications, and even these are unconfirmed by viral cultures.
National Vital Statistics Reports. Deaths: Preliminary Data for 2003, Volume 53 Number 15 2003
Deaths from influenza = 1.805
http://origin.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr53/nvsr53_15.pdf (p.16)
National Vital Statistics Reports. Deaths: Final Data for 2002, Volume 53 Number 5 2002 Deaths from influenza = 747
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr53/nvsr53_05.pdf (p.31)
National Vital Statistics Reports. Deaths: Final Data for 2001, Volume 52 Number 3 2001 Deaths from infleunza = 257
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr52/nvsr52_03.pdf (p.31)
National Vital Statistics Reports. Deaths: Final Data for 2000, Volume 50 Number 15 2000 Deaths from infleunza = 1,765
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr50/nvsr50_15.pdf (p.29)
National Vital Statistics Reports. Deaths: Final Data for 1999, Volume 49 Number 8. 1999 Deaths from influenza = 1,665
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr49/nvsr49_08.pdf (p28)
Using the figures for the past five years available reports, the average annual death toll form influenza is almost 1,248. 36,000 deaths may sound much scarier, but it's not rooted in science or fact. Likely, it's a publicity thing and they kno